Messi Emerges as Ballon d’Or Favourite as Award Race Enters Final Stage

The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between Argentina and Spain could determine not only the destination of the trophy but also the winner of this year’s Ballon d’Or.

With the individual award race considered wide open, the World Cup has emerged as a potentially decisive factor, with players from both finalists among the leading contenders.

Lionel Messi would reportedly become the overwhelming favourite if Argentina defeat Spain and the 39-year-old captain wins a second World Cup title.

A triumph in the final would add another historic achievement to Messi’s remarkable year, which has also included success with Inter Miami and further recognition for his continued performances at the highest level.

Speculation surrounding Messi’s chances intensified after the official Ballon d’Or social media account reminded fans that players based outside Europe remain eligible to win the prestigious individual award.

The unusual reminder, coming just days before the World Cup final, has been interpreted by many as a significant development in the debate surrounding Messi’s candidacy.

If Spain lift the trophy, however, the race could become considerably more open. Barcelona star Lamine Yamal, who is already regarded as one of the leading contenders, would strengthen his case significantly after winning the league title and potentially adding a World Cup triumph.

Spain midfielder Rodri could also re-enter the conversation, particularly given his strong standing among international voters following his previous Ballon d’Or success.

Other players, including Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembélé, are also considered to have a realistic route to the award, although their chances could depend heavily on Argentina failing to win the final.

For now, the World Cup final has become the defining stage of the Ballon d’Or race.

Should Messi lead Argentina to victory, the football icon could add a record ninth Ballon d’Or to his collection, further cementing his extraordinary legacy in the sport.

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